Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Don't miss the opportunity to sell during the next upturn

 [Editor's note: The boom market for sellers may be over. Interest rates are climbing, the stock market is down. The good, experienced Investment bankers and M&A professionals tell us that unless you have a high-performing company in a highly desirable market, this is NOT the time to sell your business, as valuations continue to fall for companies other than those top performers. They advise companies to spend the time during 2022 and 2023 getting the company in the best shape so that you are ready for the next good M&A market in 2024 -2025.


Some folks believe we are already in a recession. If not yet, many economists expect the next downturn as early as 2023. No one knows for sure. However, there is one thing for sure - if you missed the favorable opportunity to sell once, do not let it happen again.   -DPM]

 Don't miss the opportunity to sell during the next upturn

The full exit sales process may take several years. With credit markets tightening, the economy likely heading into recession, and uncertainty everywhere, it may seem counter-intuitive to be writing about preparing your company to be ready to sell during the next economic upturn.

While some business owners may believe they can pull the string when they are ready, the truth is, for many business owners, the exit sales cycle may take several years to execute. Professionals will tell you that in order to sell at highest value, the process includes 1-2 years to get ready, up to 1 year for the transaction, and then you may have to spend another 3 years with the company after the sale.

Much of the preparation can be accomplished during a down cycle. Companies can focus on making fundamental improvements to their business during the downturn that will help them emerge faster and healthier than their competitors.
1. Focus on customer net profitability
2. Upgrade management
3. Cleanup business processes
4. Develop a strategic growth and execution plan
5. Position the company for the upturn
6. Never waste the opportunity of a good downturn

Customer net profitability.
The tendency during a downturn is to cling to any customers and revenue no matter the profitability level. A common comment is that "at least they absorb overhead." The notion of unprofitable business absorbing overhead may be one of the greatest false beliefs in business. In many cases, overhead that has been viewed as fixed, is really a cost that can be minimized or shed. Carrying unprofitable business will be a continuing cash drain that may inhibit your business' ability to grow as the economy improves.

Upgrade management.
There may be a better supply of good talent available in the marketplace as the economy sours. In many cases, this may be talent that has not be available in better times. Take advantage of the opportunity to improve. This is also a great opportunity to review all of your employees and weed out those with below average performance, poor potential, or unrealized potential. Our clients use a simple tool to rank all employees in terms of potential and performance - the results make it very clear which ones have been a drag on the company.

Cleanup business processes. During boom times, many companies claim they are too busy to scrutinize business processes to make improvements and streamline to increase throughput. That "excuse" typically does not apply during a downturn.

Develop a strategic growth and execution plan. You need a plan not only to help you survive the downturn, but also that will allow you to be agile enough to take advantage of opportunities in the recovering marketplace. There may be market segments that will be slow to come back; some may never come back the same way. Other market segments, however, may present huge new opportunities. Your organization needs to develop a plan and be prepared to execute.

Position your company for the next upturn.
The most significant competitive gains are made during a downturn. Companies that are prepared and well-positioned can accelerate very quickly as he markets healthy. Competitors that are under stress during the downturn will actually be under greater stress as the economy improves. Cash demands can be low when demand is low. Cash needs, however, will increase as the economy improves. Companies will need cash to hire more people, invest in inventory and equipment, etc. 

Never waste the opportunity of a good downturn
During downturns, companies have the opportunity to examine everything, reduce unnecessary expenses, trim those under-performers, examine unprofitable business, streamline business processes, etc. 

Take a lesson from the Boy Scouts: Be prepared.
These steps can add value to your business - even during a downturn. When the economy improves, your business can accelerate faster and be well- positioned. The market for selling a business will be ripe in late 2010 and 2011. Those businesses that are ready will find a hungry group of buyers and investors who have been sitting on their hands during the recession.
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What's the old saying - "Miss your chance once, it's a shame; Miss twice, shame on you!"

We can help. If you have not yet prepared your company ready for sale, we can help. The Mead Consulting Group has been helping companies prepare to maximize value for exit for many years. We have helped over 60 client companies successfully sell outright or recapitalize their business to take "chips off the table." See what some clients have said about their experience with Mead Consulting.

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