The Elections Are Over - Now What?
[Editor's Note: For months, the midterm campaigns dominated the news cycle, our inboxes and more than a few boardroom conversations. Now the verdict is in: Democrats won control of both the House and the Senate, flipping at least seven Senate seats, including Texas, Ohio and North Carolina. A handful of races, among them Senate contests in Alaska and Mississippi, were still being counted as of today, For business owners and executives, the question is practical: what do we do on Monday morning?
For owners and CEOs of lower middle market companies, the question is sharper. Turning an election into a plan falls on you and a lean finance team. The owners who do it quickly will gain ground on those still waiting to see what happens. -dpm]
What changes, and what doesn't. Markets read divided government as stability.
A midterm does not change who sits in the Oval Office. President Trump's executive agenda on trade, regulation and enforcement continues for two more years. What changes is the legislative math. Washington now has divided government: a Democratic Congress that controls the agenda and the oversight gavels, and a president who says he will use his veto "liberally."
Markets read that as stability, on expectations of gridlock: fewer sweeping changes to tax and spending law, and a clearer planning horizon.
Don't overlook the states. Democrats also flipped governorships in Iowa, Ohio, Texas and Georgia, while Republicans held Florida. For a company concentrated in one or two states, changes in labor rules, taxes and licensing will matter sooner than anything Washington does.
The issues that shape growth didn't go away
The election settled who controls Congress. It did not solve the issues that shape growth. Four deserve your attention now.
Your cost of debt. Inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target, at 3.7% in September, and the Fed held its benchmark at 3.75% to 4% on October 28, with two officials favoring another hike. Most companies your size borrow at floating rates, so this flows straight into interest expense and covenant headroom. Stress-test debt service at today's rates and higher before your lender does.
Taxes, for once, are predictable. The 2025 tax law made the 20% pass-through deduction and 100% bonus depreciation permanent and raised the estate tax exemption to $15 million. With a president ready to veto rollbacks, those provisions should hold through 2028, which makes capital spending and succession planning easier to model.
Tariffs, secondhand. Few companies your size import directly; you feel tariffs through supplier price increases, often with less pricing power than larger rivals. Congress can hold hearings but cannot easily reverse tariffs set by executive action. Review supplier contracts, add price-adjustment clauses to new customer deals and qualify a second source for critical inputs.
Healthcare. In a September UBS survey, 81% of business owners rated healthcare as highly important, up from 69% in 2024. Small-group buyers have less leverage than large employers, so price alternatives this renewal season.
A post-election playbook for the next 90 days
- Get exit-ready, even if you aren't selling. Less uncertainty tends to bring buyers and lenders back to the table, making the next 12 to 18 months a constructive window to raise capital, pursue add-ons or sell. Commission a quality-of-earnings review, clean up the financials and make sure key relationships don't run only through you. Mead Consulting can help you perform an exit readiness assessment, Value Creation Evaluation™
- Stress-test your 2027 budget. Build a base case and a downside case for rates, input costs, tariffs and wages, and know which levers you would pull in each.
- Unlock stalled decisions. Many customers delayed purchases and investments until the votes were in. Get back in front of them now; pent-up demand rewards the companies that show up first.
- Map your state exposure. Ask your CPA and employment counsel what changed on Election Day in each state where you have employees, facilities or major customers.
- Engage where you have influence. A $20 million company won't move Congress, but it can be heard in the statehouse. Get to know your state legislators and use your trade association, especially in the four states that just changed governors.
The bottom line. Get back to work.
Elections are moments; growth is a discipline. The results will shape the environment you operate in, but they will not set your prices, serve your customers or develop your people. Those decisions are still yours.
So take a breath, tune out the post-game commentary and get back to work. The companies that win the next two years will not be the ones that guessed the election right. They will be the ones that adapted fastest once it was over.
We Can Help
The Mead Consulting Group has worked alongside lower middle market owners for over 35 years. Contact Dave Mead at (303) 660-8135 or meaddp@meadconsultinggroup.com.
The conversation is free. The cost of waiting is not.
Best regards,
Dave Mead